Meteorological Data Analysis And Prediction Using Machine Learning With Python
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Meteorological Data Analysis And Prediction Using Machine Learning With Python
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Author : Vivian Siahaan
language : en
Publisher: BALIGE PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2023-07-31
Meteorological Data Analysis And Prediction Using Machine Learning With Python written by Vivian Siahaan and has been published by BALIGE PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-07-31 with Computers categories.
In this meteorological data analysis and prediction project using machine learning with Python, we begin by conducting data exploration to understand the dataset's structure and contents. We load the dataset and check for any missing values or anomalies that may require preprocessing. To gain insights into the data, we visualize the distribution of each feature, examining histograms, box plots, and scatter plots. This helps us identify potential outliers and understand the relationships between different variables. After data exploration, we preprocess the dataset, handling missing values through imputation techniques or removing rows with missing data, ensuring the data is ready for machine learning algorithms. Next, we define the problem we want to solve, which is predicting the weather summary based on various meteorological parameters. The weather summary serves as our target variable, while the other features act as input variables. We split the data into training and testing sets to train the machine learning models on one subset and evaluate their performance on unseen data. For the prediction task, we start with simple machine learning models like Logistic Regression or Decision Trees. We fit these models to the training data and assess their accuracy on the test set. To improve model performance, we explore more complex algorithms, such as Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector, Decision Trees, Random Forests, Gradient Boosting, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Light Gradient Boosting, and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP). We use grid search to tune the hyperparameters of these models and find the best combination that optimizes their performance. During model evaluation, we use metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score to measure how well the models predict the weather summary. To ensure robustness and reliability of the results, we apply k-fold cross-validation, where the dataset is divided into k subsets, and each model is trained and evaluated k times. Throughout the project, we pay attention to potential issues like overfitting or underfitting, striving to strike a balance between model complexity and generalization. Visualizations play a crucial role in understanding the model's behavior and identifying areas for improvement. We create various plots, including learning curves and confusion matrices, to interpret the model's performance. In the prediction phase, we apply the trained models to the test dataset to predict the weather summary for each sample. We compare the predicted values with the actual values to assess the model's performance on unseen data. The entire project is well-documented, ensuring transparency and reproducibility. We record the methodologies, findings, and results to facilitate future reference or sharing with stakeholders. We analyze the predictive capabilities of the models and summarize their strengths and limitations. We discuss potential areas of improvement and future directions to enhance the model's accuracy and robustness. The main objective of this project is to accurately predict weather summaries based on meteorological data, while also gaining valuable insights into the underlying patterns and trends in the data. By leveraging machine learning algorithms, preprocessing techniques, hyperparameter tuning, and thorough evaluation, we aim to build reliable models that can assist in weather forecasting and analysis.
Time Series Weather Forecasting And Prediction With Python
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Author : Vivian Siahaan
language : en
Publisher: BALIGE PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2023-07-12
Time Series Weather Forecasting And Prediction With Python written by Vivian Siahaan and has been published by BALIGE PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-07-12 with Computers categories.
In this project, we embarked on a journey of exploring time-series weather data and performing forecasting and prediction using Python. The objective was to gain insights into the dataset, visualize feature distributions, analyze year-wise and month-wise patterns, apply ARIMA regression to forecast temperature, and utilize machine learning models to predict weather conditions. Let's delve into each step of the process. To begin, we started by exploring the dataset, which contained historical weather data. We examined the structure and content of the dataset to understand its variables, such as temperature, humidity, wind speed, and weather conditions. Understanding the dataset is crucial for effective analysis and modeling. Next, we visualized the distributions of different features. By creating histograms, box plots, and density plots, we gained insights into the range, central tendency, and variability of the variables. These visualizations allowed us to identify any outliers, skewed distributions, or patterns within the data. Moving on, we explored the dataset's temporal aspects by analyzing year-wise and month-wise distributions. This involved aggregating the data based on years and months and visualizing the trends over time. By examining these patterns, we could observe any long-term or seasonal variations in the weather variables. After gaining a comprehensive understanding of the dataset, we proceeded to apply ARIMA regression for temperature forecasting. ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) is a powerful technique for time-series analysis. By fitting an ARIMA model to the temperature data, we were able to make predictions and assess the model's accuracy in capturing the underlying patterns. In addition to temperature forecasting, we aimed to predict weather conditions using machine learning models. We employed various classification algorithms such as Logistic Regression, Decision Trees, Random Forests, Support Vector Machines (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Adaboost, Gradient Boosting, Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Light Gradient Boosting (LGBM), and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP). These models were trained on the historical weather data, with weather conditions as the target variable. To evaluate the performance of the machine learning models, we utilized several metrics: accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score. Accuracy measures the overall correctness of the predictions, while precision quantifies the proportion of true positive predictions out of all positive predictions. Recall, also known as sensitivity, measures the ability to identify true positives, and F1 score combines precision and recall into a single metric. Throughout the process, we emphasized the importance of data preprocessing, including handling missing values, scaling features, and splitting the dataset into training and testing sets. Preprocessing ensures the data is in a suitable format for analysis and modeling, and it helps prevent biases or inconsistencies in the results. By following this step-by-step approach, we were able to gain insights into the dataset, visualize feature distributions, analyze temporal patterns, forecast temperature using ARIMA regression, and predict weather conditions using machine learning models. The evaluation metrics provided a comprehensive assessment of the models' performance in capturing the weather conditions accurately. In conclusion, this project demonstrated the power of Python in time-series weather forecasting and prediction. Through data exploration, visualization, regression analysis, and machine learning modeling, we obtained valuable insights and accurate predictions regarding temperature and weather conditions. This knowledge can be applied in various domains such as agriculture, transportation, and urban planning, enabling better decision-making based on weather forecasts.
Analysis And Prediction Projects Using Machine Learning And Deep Learning With Python
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Author : Vivian Siahaan
language : en
Publisher: BALIGE PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2022-02-17
Analysis And Prediction Projects Using Machine Learning And Deep Learning With Python written by Vivian Siahaan and has been published by BALIGE PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-02-17 with Computers categories.
PROJECT 1: DEFAULT LOAN PREDICTION BASED ON CUSTOMER BEHAVIOR Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning with Python In finance, default is failure to meet the legal obligations (or conditions) of a loan, for example when a home buyer fails to make a mortgage payment, or when a corporation or government fails to pay a bond which has reached maturity. A national or sovereign default is the failure or refusal of a government to repay its national debt. The dataset used in this project belongs to a Hackathon organized by "Univ.AI". All values were provided at the time of the loan application. Following are the features in the dataset: Income, Age, Experience, Married/Single, House_Ownership, Car_Ownership, Profession, CITY, STATE, CURRENT_JOB_YRS, CURRENT_HOUSE_YRS, and Risk_Flag. The Risk_Flag indicates whether there has been a default in the past or not. The machine learning models used in this project are K-Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, Adaboost, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting, XGB classifier, MLP classifier, and CNN 1D. Finally, you will plot boundary decision, ROC, distribution of features, feature importance, cross validation score, and predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, performance of the model, scalability of the model, training loss, and training accuracy. PROJECT 2: AIRLINE PASSENGER SATISFACTION Analysis and Prediction Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning with Python The dataset used in this project contains an airline passenger satisfaction survey. In this case, you will determine what factors are highly correlated to a satisfied (or dissatisfied) passenger and predict passenger satisfaction. Below are the features in the dataset: Gender: Gender of the passengers (Female, Male); Customer Type: The customer type (Loyal customer, disloyal customer); Age: The actual age of the passengers; Type of Travel: Purpose of the flight of the passengers (Personal Travel, Business Travel); Class: Travel class in the plane of the passengers (Business, Eco, Eco Plus); Flight distance: The flight distance of this journey; Inflight wifi service: Satisfaction level of the inflight wifi service (0:Not Applicable;1-5); Departure/Arrival time convenient: Satisfaction level of Departure/Arrival time convenient; Ease of Online booking: Satisfaction level of online booking; Gate location: Satisfaction level of Gate location; Food and drink: Satisfaction level of Food and drink; Online boarding: Satisfaction level of online boarding; Seat comfort: Satisfaction level of Seat comfort; Inflight entertainment: Satisfaction level of inflight entertainment; On-board service: Satisfaction level of On-board service; Leg room service: Satisfaction level of Leg room service; Baggage handling: Satisfaction level of baggage handling; Check-in service: Satisfaction level of Check-in service; Inflight service: Satisfaction level of inflight service; Cleanliness: Satisfaction level of Cleanliness; Departure Delay in Minutes: Minutes delayed when departure; Arrival Delay in Minutes: Minutes delayed when Arrival; and Satisfaction: Airline satisfaction level (Satisfaction, neutral or dissatisfaction) The machine learning models used in this project are K-Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting, XGB classifier, MLP classifier, and CNN 1D. Finally, you will plot boundary decision, ROC, distribution of features, feature importance, cross validation score, and predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, performance of the model, scalability of the model, training loss, and training accuracy. PROJECT 3: CREDIT CARD CHURNING CUSTOMER ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING AND DEEP LEARNING WITH PYTHON The dataset used in this project consists of more than 10,000 customers mentioning their age, salary, marital_status, credit card limit, credit card category, etc. There are 20 features in the dataset. In the dataset, there are only 16.07% of customers who have churned. Thus, it's a bit difficult to train our model to predict churning customers. Following are the features in the dataset: 'Attrition_Flag', 'Customer_Age', 'Gender', 'Dependent_count', 'Education_Level', 'Marital_Status', 'Income_Category', 'Card_Category', 'Months_on_book', 'Total_Relationship_Count', 'Months_Inactive_12_mon', 'Contacts_Count_12_mon', 'Credit_Limit', 'Total_Revolving_Bal', 'Avg_Open_To_Buy', 'Total_Amt_Chng_Q4_Q1', 'Total_Trans_Amt', 'Total_Trans_Ct', 'Total_Ct_Chng_Q4_Q1', and 'Avg_Utilization_Ratio',. The target variable is 'Attrition_Flag'. The machine learning models used in this project are K-Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting, XGB classifier, MLP classifier, and CNN 1D. Finally, you will plot boundary decision, ROC, distribution of features, feature importance, cross validation score, and predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, performance of the model, scalability of the model, training loss, and training accuracy. PROJECT 4: MARKETING ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING AND DEEP LEARNING WITH PYTHON This data set was provided to students for their final project in order to test their statistical analysis skills as part of a MSc. in Business Analytics. It can be utilized for EDA, Statistical Analysis, and Visualizations. Following are the features in the dataset: ID = Customer's unique identifier; Year_Birth = Customer's birth year; Education = Customer's education level; Marital_Status = Customer's marital status; Income = Customer's yearly household income; Kidhome = Number of children in customer's household; Teenhome = Number of teenagers in customer's household; Dt_Customer = Date of customer's enrollment with the company; Recency = Number of days since customer's last purchase; MntWines = Amount spent on wine in the last 2 years; MntFruits = Amount spent on fruits in the last 2 years; MntMeatProducts = Amount spent on meat in the last 2 years; MntFishProducts = Amount spent on fish in the last 2 years; MntSweetProducts = Amount spent on sweets in the last 2 years; MntGoldProds = Amount spent on gold in the last 2 years; NumDealsPurchases = Number of purchases made with a discount; NumWebPurchases = Number of purchases made through the company's web site; NumCatalogPurchases = Number of purchases made using a catalogue; NumStorePurchases = Number of purchases made directly in stores; NumWebVisitsMonth = Number of visits to company's web site in the last month; AcceptedCmp3 = 1 if customer accepted the offer in the 3rd campaign, 0 otherwise; AcceptedCmp4 = 1 if customer accepted the offer in the 4th campaign, 0 otherwise; AcceptedCmp5 = 1 if customer accepted the offer in the 5th campaign, 0 otherwise; AcceptedCmp1 = 1 if customer accepted the offer in the 1st campaign, 0 otherwise; AcceptedCmp2 = 1 if customer accepted the offer in the 2nd campaign, 0 otherwise; Response = 1 if customer accepted the offer in the last campaign, 0 otherwise; Complain = 1 if customer complained in the last 2 years, 0 otherwise; and Country = Customer's location. The machine and deep learning models used in this project are K-Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting, XGB classifier, MLP classifier, and CNN 1D. Finally, you will plot boundary decision, ROC, distribution of features, feature importance, cross validation score, and predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, performance of the model, scalability of the model, training loss, and training accuracy. PROJECT 5: METEOROLOGICAL DATA ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING WITH PYTHON Meteorological phenomena are described and quantified by the variables of Earth's atmosphere: temperature, air pressure, water vapour, mass flow, and the variations and interactions of these variables, and how they change over time. Different spatial scales are used to describe and predict weather on local, regional, and global levels. The dataset used in this project consists of meteorological data with 96453 total number of data points and with 11 attributes/columns. Following are the columns in the dataset: Formatted Date; Summary; Precip Type; Temperature (C); Apparent Temperature (C); Humidity; Wind Speed (km/h); Wind Bearing (degrees); Visibility (km); Pressure (millibars); and Daily Summary. The machine learning models used in this project are K-Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting, XGB classifier, and MLP classifier. Finally, you will plot boundary decision, distribution of features, feature importance, cross validation score, and predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, performance of the model, scalability of the model, training loss, and training accuracy.
Data Science For Rain Classification And Prediction With Python Gui
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Author : Vivian Siahaan
language : en
Publisher: BALIGE PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2023-06-29
Data Science For Rain Classification And Prediction With Python Gui written by Vivian Siahaan and has been published by BALIGE PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-06-29 with Computers categories.
The dataset used in this book consists of daily weather observations from various locations in Australia spanning a 10-year period. The target variable is "RainTomorrow," which predicts whether it will rain the following day. The dataset comprises 23 attributes, including: DATE: The date of observation.; LOCATION: The name of the weather station's location.; MINTEMP: The minimum temperature in degrees Celsius.; MAXTEMP: The maximum temperature in degrees Celsius.; RAINFALL: The amount of rainfall recorded for the day in mm.; EVAPORATION: Class A pan evaporation in mm for the 24 hours until 9 am.; SUNSHINE: The number of hours of bright sunshine in a day.; WINDGUSTDIR: The direction of the strongest wind gust in the 24 hours until midnight.; WINDGUSTSPEED: The speed of the strongest wind gust in km/h in the 24 hours until midnight.; WINDDIR9AM: The direction of the wind at 9 am. The project utilizes several machine learning models, including K-Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, Adaboost, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting, and XGB classifier. Three feature scaling techniques, namely raw scaling, MinMax scaling, and standard scaling, are employed. These machine learning models are utilized to analyze the weather attributes and make predictions about the occurrence of rainfall. Each model has its strengths and may perform differently based on the characteristics of the dataset. Additionally, a GUI is developed using PyQt5 to visualize cross-validation scores, predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curves, decision boundaries, model performance, scalability, training loss, and training accuracy. These visualizations within the GUI provide a comprehensive understanding of the model's performance, learning behavior, decision-making boundaries, and the quality of its predictions. Users can leverage these insights to fine-tune the model and improve its accuracy and generalization capabilities. In addition, the GUI developed using PyQt5 also includes the capability to visualize features on a year-wise and month-wise basis. This functionality allows users to explore the variations and trends in different weather attributes across different years and months. With the year-wise and month-wise visualizations, users can gain insights into the temporal patterns and trends present in the weather data. It enables them to observe how specific attributes change over time and across different seasons, providing a deeper understanding of the weather patterns and their potential influence on rainfall occurrences.
Visualization Techniques For Climate Change With Machine Learning And Artificial Intelligence
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Author : Ashutosh Kumar Dubey
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2022-11-11
Visualization Techniques For Climate Change With Machine Learning And Artificial Intelligence written by Ashutosh Kumar Dubey and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-11-11 with Science categories.
Visualization Techniques for Climate Change with Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence covers computer-aided artificial intelligence and machine learning technologies as related to the impacts of climate change and its potential to prevent/remediate the effects. As such, different types of algorithms, mathematical relations and software models may help us to understand our current reality, predict future weather events and create new products and services to minimize human impact, chances of improving and saving lives and creating a healthier world. This book covers different types of tools for the prediction of climate change and alternative systems which can reduce the levels of threats observed by climate change scientists. Moreover, the book will help to achieve at least one of 17 sustainable development goals i.e., climate action. - Includes case studies on the application of AI and machine learning for monitoring climate change effects and management - Features applications of software and algorithms for modeling and forecasting climate change - Shows how real-time monitoring of specific factors (temperature, level of greenhouse gases, rain fall patterns, etc.) are responsible for climate change and possible mitigation efforts to achieve environmental sustainability
Weather And Climate
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Author : Simon Driscoll
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2026-04-01
Weather And Climate written by Simon Driscoll and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2026-04-01 with Science categories.
Weather and Climate: Applications of Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence provides a comprehensive exploration of machine learning in the context of weather forecasting and climate research. The authors begin with an introduction to the fundamentals and statistical tools of machine learning, followed by an overview of various machine learning models. Emulation and machine learning of sub-grid scale parametrizations are discussed, along with the application of AI/ML in weather forecasting and climate models. Next, the book delves into the concept of explainable AI (XAI) methods for understanding ML and AI models, as well as the use of generative AI in weather and climate research. It explores the interface of data assimilation and machine learning for weather forecasting, showcasing case studies of machine learning applied to environmental monitoring data. The book concludes by looking ahead to the future of ML and AI in climate and weather-related research, providing references for further reading. This comprehensive guide offers valuable insights into the intersection of machine learning, artificial intelligence, and atmospheric science, highlighting the potential for innovation and advancement in weather and climate research.• Provides a concise, singular resource for understanding machine learning and fundamental statistical tools relevant to weather and climate modelling• Examines state-of-the-art AI and ML approaches and their implementation in weather and climate, with extensive Python and Jupyter Notebooks for readers• Discusses future directions and the latest, most cutting-edge developments and applications of AI and ML to weather and climate science
Ultimate Enterprise Data Analysis And Forecasting Using Python
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Author : Shanthababu Pandian
language : en
Publisher: Orange Education Pvt Ltd
Release Date : 2023-12-28
Ultimate Enterprise Data Analysis And Forecasting Using Python written by Shanthababu Pandian and has been published by Orange Education Pvt Ltd this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-12-28 with Computers categories.
Practical Approaches to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting using Python for Informed Decision-Making KEY FEATURES ● Comprehensive Resource for Python-Based Time Series Analysis and Forecasting. ● Delve into real-world applications with industry-specific case studies. ● Extract valuable insights by solving time series challenges across various sectors. ● Understand the significance of Azure Time Series Insights and AWS Forecast components. ● Practical insights into leveraging cloud platforms for efficient time series forecasting. DESCRIPTION Embark on a transformative journey through the intricacies of time series analysis and forecasting with this comprehensive handbook. Beginning with the essential packages for data science and machine learning projects you will delve into Python's prowess for efficient time series data analysis, exploring the core components and real-world applications across various industries through compelling use-case studies. From understanding classical models like AR, MA, ARMA, and ARIMA to exploring advanced techniques such as exponential smoothing and ETS methods, this guide ensures a deep understanding of the subject. It will help you navigate the complexities of vector autoregression (VAR, VMA, VARMA) and elevate your skills with a deep dive into deep learning techniques for time series analysis. By the end of this book, you will be able to harness the capabilities of Azure Time Series Insights and explore the cutting-edge AWS Forecast components, unlocking the cloud's power for advanced and scalable time series forecasting. WHAT WILL YOU LEARN ● Explore Time Series Data Analysis and Forecasting, covering components and significance. ● Gain a practical understanding through hands-on examples and real-world case studies. ● Master Time Series Models (AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA, VAR, VMA, VARMA) with executable samples. ● Delve into Deep Learning for Time Series Analysis, demystified with classical examples. ● Actively engage with Azure Time Series Insights and AWS Forecast components for a contemporary perspective. WHO IS THIS BOOK FOR? This book caters to beginners, intermediates, and practitioners in data-related fields such as Data Analysts, Data Scientists, and Machine Learning Engineers, as well as those venturing into Time Series Analysis and Forecasting. It assumes readers have a foundational understanding of programming languages (C, C++, Python), data structures, statistics, and visualization concepts. With a focus on specific projects, it also functions as a quick reference for advanced users. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Introduction to Python and its key packages for DS and ML Projects 2. Python for Time Series Data Analysis 3. Time Series Analysis and its Components 4. Time Series Analysis and Forecasting Opportunities in Various Industries 5. Exploring various aspects of Time Series Analysis and Forecasting 6. Exploring Time Series Models - AR, MA, ARMA, and ARIMA 7. Understanding Exponential Smoothing and ETS Methods in TSA 8. Exploring Vector Autoregression and its Subsets (VAR, VMA, and VARMA) 9. Deep Learning for Time Series Analysis and Forecasting 10. Azure Time Series Insights 11. AWSForecast Index
Patterns Identification And Data Mining In Weather And Climate
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Author : Abdelwaheb Hannachi
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2021
Patterns Identification And Data Mining In Weather And Climate written by Abdelwaheb Hannachi and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021 with categories.
Advances in computer power and observing systems has led to the generation and accumulation of large scale weather & climate data begging for exploration and analysis. Pattern Identification and Data Mining in Weather and Climate presents, from different perspectives, most available, novel and conventional, approaches used to analyze multivariate time series in climate science to identify patterns of variability, teleconnections, and reduce dimensionality. The book discusses different methods to identify patterns of spatiotemporal fields. The book also presents machine learning with a particular focus on the main methods used in climate science. Applications to atmospheric and oceanographic data are also presented and discussed in most chapters. To help guide students and beginners in the field of weather & climate data analysis, basic Matlab skeleton codes are given is some chapters, complemented with a list of software links toward the end of the text. A number of technical appendices are also provided, making the text particularly suitable for didactic purposes. The topic of EOFs and associated pattern identification in space-time data sets has gone through an extraordinary fast development, both in terms of new insights and the breadth of applications. We welcome this text by Abdel Hannachi who not only has a deep insight in the field but has himself made several contributions to new developments in the last 15 years. - Huug van den Dool, Climate Prediction Center, NCEP, College Park, MD, U.S.A. Now that weather and climate science is producing ever larger and richer data sets, the topic of pattern extraction and interpretation has become an essential part. This book provides an up to date overview of the latest techniques and developments in this area. - Maarten Ambaum, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, U.K. This nicely and expertly written book covers a lot of ground, ranging from classical linear pattern identification techniques to more modern machine learning, illustrated with examples from weather & climate science. It will be very valuable both as a tutorial for graduate and postgraduate students and as a reference text for researchers and practitioners in the field. - Frank Kwasniok, College of Engineering, University of Exeter, U.K.
Wind Power Analysis And Forecasting Using Machine Learning With Python
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Author : Vivian Siahaan
language : en
Publisher: BALIGE PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2023-07-09
Wind Power Analysis And Forecasting Using Machine Learning With Python written by Vivian Siahaan and has been published by BALIGE PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-07-09 with Computers categories.
In this project on wind power analysis and forecasting using machine learning with Python, we started by exploring the dataset. We examined the available features and the target variable, which is the active power generated by wind turbines. The dataset likely contained information about various meteorological parameters and the corresponding active power measurements. To begin our analysis, we focused on the regression task of predicting the active power using regression algorithms. We split the dataset into training and testing sets and preprocessed the data by handling missing values and performing feature scaling. The preprocessing step ensured that the data was suitable for training machine learning models. Next, we trained several regression models on the preprocessed data. We utilized algorithms such as Linear Regression, Decision Tree Regression, Random Forest Regression, and Gradient Boosting Regression. Each model was trained on the training set and evaluated on the testing set using performance metrics like mean squared error (MSE) and R-squared score. After obtaining regression models for active power prediction, we shifted our focus to predicting categorized active power using machine learning models. This involved converting the continuous active power values into discrete categories or classes. We defined categories based on certain thresholds or ranges of active power values. For the categorized active power prediction task, we employed classification algorithms. Similar to the regression task, we split the dataset, preprocessed the data, and trained various classification models. Common classification algorithms used were Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machines (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Decision Trees, Random Forests, Gradient Boosting, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Multi-Layer Perceptron, and Light Gradient Boosting models. During the training and evaluation of classification models, we used performance metrics like accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score to assess the models' predictive capabilities. Additionally, we analyzed the classification reports to gain insights into the models' performance for each category. Throughout the process, we paid attention to feature scaling techniques such as normalization and standardization. These techniques were applied to ensure that the features were on a similar scale and to prevent any bias or dominance of certain features during model training. The results of predicting categorized active power using machine learning models were highly encouraging. The models demonstrated exceptional accuracy and exhibited strong classification performance across all categories. The findings from this analysis have significant implications for wind power forecasting and monitoring systems, allowing for more effective categorization and management of wind power generation based on predicted active power levels. To summarize, the wind power analysis and forecasting session involved dataset exploration, active power regression using regression algorithms, and predicting categorized active power using various machine learning models. The regression task aimed to predict continuous active power values, while the classification task aimed to predict discrete categories of active power. Preprocessing, training, evaluation, and performance analysis were key steps throughout the session. The selected models, algorithms, and performance metrics varied depending on the specific task at hand. Overall, the project provided a comprehensive overview of applying machine learning techniques to analyze and forecast wind power generation.
Time Series Forecasting In Python
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Author : Marco Peixeiro
language : en
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
Release Date : 2022-10-04
Time Series Forecasting In Python written by Marco Peixeiro and has been published by Simon and Schuster this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-10-04 with Computers categories.
Build predictive models from time-based patterns in your data. Master statistical models including new deep learning approaches for time series forecasting. In Time Series Forecasting in Python you will learn how to: Recognize a time series forecasting problem and build a performant predictive model Create univariate forecasting models that account for seasonal effects and external variables Build multivariate forecasting models to predict many time series at once Leverage large datasets by using deep learning for forecasting time series Automate the forecasting process Time Series Forecasting in Python teaches you to build powerful predictive models from time-based data. Every model you create is relevant, useful, and easy to implement with Python. You’ll explore interesting real-world datasets like Google’s daily stock price and economic data for the USA, quickly progressing from the basics to developing large-scale models that use deep learning tools like TensorFlow. Purchase of the print book includes a free eBook in PDF, Kindle, and ePub formats from Manning Publications. About the technology You can predict the future—with a little help from Python, deep learning, and time series data! Time series forecasting is a technique for modeling time-centric data to identify upcoming events. New Python libraries and powerful deep learning tools make accurate time series forecasts easier than ever before. About the book Time Series Forecasting in Python teaches you how to get immediate, meaningful predictions from time-based data such as logs, customer analytics, and other event streams. In this accessible book, you’ll learn statistical and deep learning methods for time series forecasting, fully demonstrated with annotated Python code. Develop your skills with projects like predicting the future volume of drug prescriptions, and you’ll soon be ready to build your own accurate, insightful forecasts. What's inside Create models for seasonal effects and external variables Multivariate forecasting models to predict multiple time series Deep learning for large datasets Automate the forecasting process About the reader For data scientists familiar with Python and TensorFlow. About the author Marco Peixeiro is a seasoned data science instructor who has worked as a data scientist for one of Canada’s largest banks. Table of Contents PART 1 TIME WAITS FOR NO ONE 1 Understanding time series forecasting 2 A naive prediction of the future 3 Going on a random walk PART 2 FORECASTING WITH STATISTICAL MODELS 4 Modeling a moving average process 5 Modeling an autoregressive process 6 Modeling complex time series 7 Forecasting non-stationary time series 8 Accounting for seasonality 9 Adding external variables to our model 10 Forecasting multiple time series 11 Capstone: Forecasting the number of antidiabetic drug prescriptions in Australia PART 3 LARGE-SCALE FORECASTING WITH DEEP LEARNING 12 Introducing deep learning for time series forecasting 13 Data windowing and creating baselines for deep learning 14 Baby steps with deep learning 15 Remembering the past with LSTM 16 Filtering a time series with CNN 17 Using predictions to make more predictions 18 Capstone: Forecasting the electric power consumption of a household PART 4 AUTOMATING FORECASTING AT SCALE 19 Automating time series forecasting with Prophet 20 Capstone: Forecasting the monthly average retail price of steak in Canada 21 Going above and beyond