Experiments In Variable Resolution Combat Modeling

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Experiments In Variable Resolution Combat Modeling

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Author : Richard John Hillestad
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1993

Experiments In Variable Resolution Combat Modeling written by Richard John Hillestad and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Combat categories.

This Note examines the differences in combat outcomes predicted by models of different resolution applied to identical combat situations. First, hypothetical combat situations are posed, then several models of varying degrees of resolution in the spatial representation, aggregation of forces, and time step are used to predict losses and battle winners. Both stochastic and deterministic simulations are used. Comparison of outcomes provides important insights into the problems of aggregation. Observations from this set of experiments are as follows. Intuition regarding outcomes, causes, and effects is frequently wrong, leading to bad approximations in the aggregate. Scaling for different levels of resolution is possible, but a method of predicting the appropriate scaling technique and factors has not been found. The differences in outcomes between stochastic and deterministic models are most pronounced in the 'fair-fight' regime, in which the force balance (accounting for situational factors) is almost even. Because defense analysis frequently operates in this regime (getting just enough force to a theater or because constrained defense budget allocations may not permit overwhelming odds), this implies that great care should be taken to understand the possible variance in outcomes.

Experiments In Variable Resolution Combat Modeling

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Author : Richard John Hillestad
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1940-01-01

Experiments In Variable Resolution Combat Modeling written by Richard John Hillestad and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1940-01-01 with Computer war games categories.

This Note examines the differences in combat outcomes predicted by models of different resolution applied to identical combat situations. First, hypothetical combat situations are posed, then several models of varying degrees of resolution in the spatial representation, aggregation of forces, and time step are used to predict losses and battle winners. Both stochastic and deterministic simulations are used. Comparison of outcomes provides important insights into the problems of aggregation. Observations from this set of experiments are as follows: Intuition regarding outcomes, causes, and effects is frequently wrong, leading to bad approximations in the aggregate. Scaling for different levels of resolution is possible, but a method of predicting the appropriate scaling technique and factors has not been found. The differences in outcomes between stochastic and deterministic models are most pronounced in the "fair-fight" regime, in which the force balance (accounting for situational factors) is almost even. Because defense analysis frequently operates in this regime (getting "just enough" force to a theater or because constrained defense budget allocations may not permit overwhelming odds), this implies that great care should be taken to understand the possible variance in outcomes.

Variable Resolution Combat Modeling

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Author : Paul K. Davis
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1992

Variable Resolution Combat Modeling written by Paul K. Davis and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with War categories.

Warfare Modeling

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Author : Military Operations Research Society
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1995

Warfare Modeling written by Military Operations Research Society and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995 with Combat simulation categories.

Aggregation Disaggregation And The 3 1 Rule In Ground Combat

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Author : Paul K. Davis
language : en
Publisher: RAND Corporation
Release Date : 1995

Aggregation Disaggregation And The 3 1 Rule In Ground Combat written by Paul K. Davis and has been published by RAND Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995 with History categories.

This report illustrates a number of basic principles about aggregation and disaggregation in combat modeling by working through the mathematics and phenomenology of a concrete example.

Wsc 93

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Author :
language : en
Publisher: Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers(IEEE)
Release Date : 1993-10

Wsc 93 written by and has been published by Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers(IEEE) this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993-10 with Computers categories.

A Guide For Analysis Using Advanced Distributed Simulation Ads

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Author : Thomas Lucas
language : en
Publisher: RAND Corporation
Release Date : 1997

A Guide For Analysis Using Advanced Distributed Simulation Ads written by Thomas Lucas and has been published by RAND Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997 with Computers categories.

The purpose of this report is to assist those in the vanguard of using Advanced Distributed Simulation (ADS) for analysis. The report discusses a broad range of issues critical to successful ADS supported analyses. Major topic areas include potential ADS analysis strengths and weaknesses, the role ADS might play within a broader analysis strategy, experimental design, exercise preparation and management, and post-exercise analysis. Because it is impossible to comprehensively treat all of these subjects, we emphasize the breadth of analysis issues over depth in their coverage with references to more detailed resources. Furthermore, the depth of coverage is highly variable. The greatest detail is provided on the roles of ADS in the analysis process and in experimental design.

Proceedings Of Conference On Variable Resolution Modeling Washington Dc 5 6 May 1992

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Author : Paul K. Davis
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1993

Proceedings Of Conference On Variable Resolution Modeling Washington Dc 5 6 May 1992 written by Paul K. Davis and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Computer simulation categories.

Toward A Comprehensive Environment For Computer Modeling Simulation And Analysis

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Author : Robert Helms Anderson
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1993

Toward A Comprehensive Environment For Computer Modeling Simulation And Analysis written by Robert Helms Anderson and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Computer simulation categories.

The Lanchester Legacy A Celebration Of Genius

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Author : John Fletcher
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1995

The Lanchester Legacy A Celebration Of Genius written by John Fletcher and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995 with Aeronautics, Military categories.

Volumes 1 and 2 are a history of the Lanchester automobile, written by Chris Clark. Volume 3 examines Frederick Lanchester's contributions in engineering and science.