Decision Making Under Uncertainty

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Decision Making Under Uncertainty

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Author : Mykel J. Kochenderfer
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2015-07-24

Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Mykel J. Kochenderfer and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-07-24 with Computers categories.

An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.

Management Decision Making Under Uncertainty

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Author : Thomas R. Dyckman
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1969

Management Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Thomas R. Dyckman and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1969 with Decision-making categories.

Decision Making Under Uncertainty

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Author : Tapan Biswas
language : en
Publisher: Palgrave
Release Date : 1997

Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Tapan Biswas and has been published by Palgrave this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997 with Decision-making categories.

At the core of microeconomic theory lie the economics of uncertainty and the economics of games and decisions. This text for undergraduates and specialists in mathematical economics links game theory with decision-making under uncertainty.

Decision Making Under Uncertainty

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Author : Charles A. Holloway
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1979

Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Charles A. Holloway and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1979 with Decision making categories.

Advances In Decision Making Under Risk And Uncertainty

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Author : Mohammed Abdellaoui
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2008-09-17

Advances In Decision Making Under Risk And Uncertainty written by Mohammed Abdellaoui and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-09-17 with Business & Economics categories.

Whether we like it or not we all feel that the world is uncertain. From choosing a new technology to selecting a job, we rarely know in advance what outcome will result from our decisions. Unfortunately, the standard theory of choice under uncertainty developed in the early forties and fifties turns out to be too rigid to take many tricky issues of choice under uncertainty into account. The good news is that we have now moved away from the early descriptively inadequate modeling of behavior. This book brings the reader into contact with the accomplished progress in individual decision making through the most recent contributions to uncertainty modeling and behavioral decision making. It also introduces the reader into the many subtle issues to be resolved for rational choice under uncertainty.

Decision Making Under Uncertainty

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Author : Bell
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1995-01-01

Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Bell and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995-01-01 with categories.

What Every Engineer Should Know About Decision Making Under Uncertainty

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Author : John X. Wang
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2002-07-01

What Every Engineer Should Know About Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by John X. Wang and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002-07-01 with Technology & Engineering categories.

Covering the prediction of outcomes for engineering decisions through regression analysis, this succinct and practical reference presents statistical reasoning and interpretational techniques to aid in the decision making process when faced with engineering problems. The author emphasizes the use of spreadsheet simulations and decision trees as important tools in the practical application of decision making analyses and models to improve real-world engineering operations. He offers insight into the realities of high-stakes engineering decision making in the investigative and corporate sectors by optimizing engineering decision variables to maximize payoff.

Judgment And Decision Making Under Uncertainty Descriptive Normative And Prescriptive Perspectives

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Author : David R. Mandel
language : en
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Release Date : 2019-09-26

Judgment And Decision Making Under Uncertainty Descriptive Normative And Prescriptive Perspectives written by David R. Mandel and has been published by Frontiers Media SA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-09-26 with categories.

Bounded Rationality In Decision Making Under Uncertainty Towards Optimal Granularity

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Author : Joe Lorkowski
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-07-01

Bounded Rationality In Decision Making Under Uncertainty Towards Optimal Granularity written by Joe Lorkowski and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-07-01 with Technology & Engineering categories.

This book addresses an intriguing question: are our decisions rational? It explains seemingly irrational human decision-making behavior by taking into account our limited ability to process information. It also shows with several examples that optimization under granularity restriction leads to observed human decision-making. Drawing on the Nobel-prize-winning studies by Kahneman and Tversky, researchers have found many examples of seemingly irrational decisions: e.g., we overestimate the probability of rare events. Our explanation is that since human abilities to process information are limited, we operate not with the exact values of relevant quantities, but with “granules” that contain these values. We show that optimization under such granularity indeed leads to observed human behavior. In particular, for the first time, we explain the mysterious empirical dependence of betting odds on actual probabilities. This book can be recommended to all students interested in human decision-making, to researchers whose work involves human decisions, and to practitioners who design and employ systems involving human decision-making —so that they can better utilize our ability to make decisions under uncertainty.

Managing Under Uncertainty

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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2012

Managing Under Uncertainty written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012 with Management categories.