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Intelligence Failure


Intelligence Failure
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Fool Me Twice Intelligence Failure And Mass Casualty Terrorism


Fool Me Twice Intelligence Failure And Mass Casualty Terrorism
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Author : Thomas Copeland
language : en
Publisher: BRILL
Release Date : 2007-07-30

Fool Me Twice Intelligence Failure And Mass Casualty Terrorism written by Thomas Copeland and has been published by BRILL this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-07-30 with Law categories.


This study evaluates whether surprise and intelligence failure leading to mass casualty terrorism are inevitable. It explores the extent to which four factors – failures of public policy leadership, analytical challenges, organizational obstacles, and the inherent problems of warning information – contribute to intelligence failure. The study applies existing theories of surprise and intelligence failure to case studies of five mass casualty terrorism incidents: World Trade Center 1993; Oklahoma City 1995; Khobar Towers 1996; East African Embassies 1998; and September 11, 2001. A structured, focused comparison of the cases is made using a set of thirteen probing questions based on the factors above. The study concludes that while all four factors were influential, failures of public policy leadership contributed directly to surprise. Psychological bias and poor threat assessments prohibited policy makers from anticipating or preventing attacks. Policy makers mistakenly continued to use a law enforcement approach to handling terrorism, and failed to provide adequate funding, guidance, and oversight of the intelligence community. The study has implications for intelligence reform, information sharing, congressional oversight, and society’s expectations about the degree to which the intelligence community can predict or prevent surprise attacks.



Intelligence Failures And Strategic Surprises In Complex Geopolitical Environments


Intelligence Failures And Strategic Surprises In Complex Geopolitical Environments
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Author : Frederic Lemieux
language : en
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Release Date : 2025-06-30

Intelligence Failures And Strategic Surprises In Complex Geopolitical Environments written by Frederic Lemieux and has been published by Emerald Group Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-06-30 with Political Science categories.


Bridging the gap between academic theory and practical intelligence analysis in the context of modern geopolitical instability, Lemieux features in-depth case studies spanning over eight decades, from the attack on Pearl Harbor in 1941 to the recent Hamas Attack in 2023.



The Covid 19 Intelligence Failure


The Covid 19 Intelligence Failure
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Author : Erik J. Dahl
language : en
Publisher: Georgetown University Press
Release Date : 2023-02-01

The Covid 19 Intelligence Failure written by Erik J. Dahl and has been published by Georgetown University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-02-01 with Political Science categories.


An in-depth analysis of why COVID-19 warnings failed and how to avert the next disaster Epidemiologists and national security agencies warned for years about the potential for a deadly pandemic, but in the end global surveillance and warning systems were not enough to avert the COVID-19 disaster. In The COVID-19 Intelligence Failure, Erik J. Dahl demonstrates that understanding how intelligence warnings work—and how they fail—shows why the years of predictions were not enough. In the first in-depth analysis of the topic, Dahl examines the roles that both traditional intelligence services and medical intelligence and surveillance systems play in providing advance warning against public health threats—and how these systems must be improved for the future. For intelligence to effectively mitigate threats, specific, tactical-level warnings must be collected and shared in real time with receptive decision makers who will take appropriate action. Dahl shows how a combination of late and insufficient warnings about COVID-19, the Trump administration’s political aversion to scientific advice, and decentralized public health systems all exacerbated the pandemic in the United States. Dahl’s analysis draws parallels to other warning failures that preceded major catastrophes from Pearl Harbor to 9/11, placing current events in context. The COVID-19 Intelligence Failure is a wake-up call for the United States and the international community to improve their national security, medical, and public health intelligence systems and capabilities.



Historical Dictionary Of Intelligence Failures


Historical Dictionary Of Intelligence Failures
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Author : Glenmore S. Trenear-Harvey
language : en
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA
Release Date : 2014-11-20

Historical Dictionary Of Intelligence Failures written by Glenmore S. Trenear-Harvey and has been published by Bloomsbury Publishing USA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-11-20 with Political Science categories.


An Intelligence failure can be defined where there was intelligence available about a particular event, but either it was not collected or was mishandled later in the assessment cycle, as opposed to the failure of an intelligence operation. The Historical Dictionary of Intelligence Failures covers the history of intelligence failures through a chronology, an introductory essay, an extensive bibliography, and over 100 cross-referenced dictionary entries on the Ardennes Offensive, the Six Day War, and the Cuban Missile Crisis, the Prague Spring, the Arab Spring, 9/11. This book is an excellent access point for students, researchers, and anyone wanting to know more about the intelligence industry.



Understanding Intelligence Failure


Understanding Intelligence Failure
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Author : James Wirtz
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2016-11-10

Understanding Intelligence Failure written by James Wirtz and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-11-10 with Political Science categories.


This collection, comprising key works by James J. Wirtz, explains how different threat perceptions can lead to strategic surprise attack, intelligence failure and the failure of deterrence. This volume adopts a strategist’s view of the issue of surprise and intelligence failure by placing these phenomena in the context of conflict between strong and weak actors in world affairs. A two-level theory explains the incentives and perceptions of both parties when significant imbalances of military power exist between potential combatants, and how this situation sets the stage for strategic surprise and intelligence failure to occur. The volume illustrates this theory by applying it to the Kargil Crisis, attacks launched by non-state actors, and by offering a comparison of Pearl Harbor and the September 11, 2001 attacks. It explores the phenomenon of deterrence failure; specifically, how weaker parties in an enduring or nascent conflict come to believe that deterrent threats posed by militarily stronger antagonists will be undermined by various constraints, increasing the attractiveness of utilising surprise attack to achieve their objectives. This work also offers strategies that could mitigate the occurrence of intelligence failure, strategic surprise and the failure of deterrence. This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, strategic studies, security studies and IR in general.



Breakdown


Breakdown
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Author : Bill Gertz
language : en
Publisher: Plume
Release Date : 2003

Breakdown written by Bill Gertz and has been published by Plume this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with History categories.


Gertz, bestselling author and acclaimed defense and national security reporter, uses unparalleled access to America's intelligence systems to examine how the nation's security was compromised by outdated bureaucracies and timid politics.



Psychology Of Intelligence Analysis


Psychology Of Intelligence Analysis
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Author : Richards J. Heuer
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1999

Psychology Of Intelligence Analysis written by Richards J. Heuer and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Cognition categories.


This volume pulls together and republishes, with some editing, updating, and additions, articles written during 1978-86 for internal use within the CIA Directorate of Intelligence. The information is relatively timeless and still relevant to the never-ending quest for better analysis. The articles are based on reviewing cognitive psychology literature concerning how people process information to make judgments on incomplete and ambiguous information. Richard Heur has selected the experiments and findings that seem most relevant to intelligence analysis and most in need of communication to intelligence analysts. He then translates the technical reports into language that intelligence analysts can understand and interpreted the relevance of these findings to the problems intelligence analysts face. 305F PROFESSIONAL READING LIST.



Intelligence Success And Failure


Intelligence Success And Failure
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Author : Uri Bar-Joseph
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2017

Intelligence Success And Failure written by Uri Bar-Joseph and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017 with History categories.


Machine generated contents note: -- Contents -- Introduction -- Part One: The Theoretical Framework -- Chapter I. Surprise Attack: A Framework for Discussion -- Chapter II. Examining the Learning Process -- Part Two: The Empirical Evidence -- The First Dyad: Barbarossa and the Battle for Moscow -- Case Study I: The Failure -- Case Study II: Success: The Battle for Moscow -- The Second Dyad: The USA in the Korean War -- Case study I: Failing to Forecast the War -- Case Study II: Failure II: The Chinese Intervention of Fall 1950 -- The Third Dyad: Intelligence Failure and Success in the War of Yom Kippur -- Case Study I: The Failure -- Case Study II: The Success -- Chapter VI. Conclusions



Intelligence Failures And Decent Intervals


Intelligence Failures And Decent Intervals
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Author : Esquire P. G. Kivett
language : en
Publisher: Intelligence Failures
Release Date : 2006

Intelligence Failures And Decent Intervals written by Esquire P. G. Kivett and has been published by Intelligence Failures this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with History categories.


Intelligence Failures and Decent Intervals provides a look at the truth behind military and diplomatic blunders to which "intelligence failure labels" have been attached that are intended to hide leadership failures responsible for the blunders. From the 1950 Chinese Communist intervention in the Korean War, to the 1968 Tet Offensive in Vietnam and the so-called surprise attack that began the 1973 Yom Kippur War in the Middle East, the book exposes instance after instance in which this egregious practice has occurred. The detriment thus reaped by the practice inures to the erosion of the Intelligence Community's effectiveness and ultimately that of our national security. The book also offers support in the official position of the U.S. Army's Center of Military History for the author's suspicion that the Vietnam War was "lost" as a result of widespread leadership failures related to the discipline of Signals Intelligence.



Failure Of Intelligence


Failure Of Intelligence
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Author : Melvin A. Goodman
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers
Release Date : 2008-01-28

Failure Of Intelligence written by Melvin A. Goodman and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield Publishers this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-01-28 with Political Science categories.


Failure of Intelligence is designed to inform the debate over intelligence policy and suggest a reform agenda. The provocative mingling of historical description with contemporary political analysis and reform prescription challenges the conventional wisdom on clandestine collection and ultimately and persuasively asserts that the failure to have diplomatic relations has led to the inability to collect intelligence.