Analytic War Plans
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Modeling And Analysis Of Conventional Defense In Europe
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Author : Reiner K. Huber
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Modeling And Analysis Of Conventional Defense In Europe written by Reiner K. Huber and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Political Science categories.
This book presents a collection of contributions to a workshop on "Long-teY'fr/ Development of NATO's Conventional Forrward Defense" to which the GERMAN STRATEGY FORUM (DSF*» had invited some 50 systems analysts and defense experts of the United States, the United Kingdom, the Federal Republic of Germany and the SHAPE Technical Centre. Held in Bonn from 2 to 4 December 1984, this workshop was to provide a forum for the dis cussion, at a non-political expert level and in the light of available analysis results, of proposals for the improvement of NATO's conventional defense capabilities. In addition, it aimed at arriving at some recommenda tions as to which of these proposals deserve to be studied further and what methodological deficiencies must be alleviated and information gaps closed for an adequate assessment. The idea to organize this workshop has been discussed ever since 1980 with several defense systems analysts in the US and the UK who shared the opinion that, with a view to the immense global build-up of the Soviet threat on one hand and the stringency of defense resources in most NATO countries on the other, there is no reason that could permit us to dismiss any proposal promising improvement without careful study.
Theory And Methods For Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking
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Author : Paul K. Davis
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2007
Theory And Methods For Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking written by Paul K. Davis and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Business & Economics categories.
This report describes an approach to high-level decision support for a Joint Forces Air Component Commander in combat operations or a Chief of Staff in defense planning. Its central theme is the fundamental importance of dealing effectively with uncertainty, whether in effects-based operations, building the Air Force's Commander's Predictive Environment, or planning future forces with the methods of capabilities-based planning. Because many features of the future cannot be predicted with reasonable confidence, it is better to proceed with the expectation of surprise developments and to have skill in recognizing adaptations and making them than it is to treat uncertainty merely as an annoyance. This report sketches the framework of a high-level decision-support environment that is top-down, expresses concepts in simple and intuitive language, deals explicitly with risk and uncertainty, and provides the capability for decisionmakers to readily discover and question the bases for key assumptions and assessments. It can accommodate both "rational-analytic" and "naturalistic" decisionmakers, allowing them to produce strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust (FAR). Two explicit methods and their related tools are described. The first involves portfolio-style thinking and analysis, a good mechanism for balancing risks and other considerations in choosing a course of action. The second is a novel modification of foresight exercises that addresses the need to include humans effectively in dealing with uncertainty. A more extensive discussion of available methods and enabling technologies is also presented, along with some recommendations about investment priorities.
The Role Of Automated War Gaming In Strategic Analysis
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Author : Bruce W. Bennett
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1984
The Role Of Automated War Gaming In Strategic Analysis written by Bruce W. Bennett and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1984 with Computer war games categories.
For the last several years, The Rand Corporation's Strategy Assessment Center (RSAC) has been developing a new framework for strategy analysis. This paper reviews the effort and discusses early RSAC experience with automated war gaming, which includes not only computerized force modeling and bookkeeping, but also automated decision making. The initial focus was on strategic forces. It became obvious that Rand also had to handle major conventional conflicts as well, since the use of strategic forces seemed most likely to escalate from theater conflict. Furthermore, most analysts felt that the outcomes of theater conflicts were critical to the outcome of the war even after the employment of strategic forces. Rand is therefore producing a simulation of integrated, global conflict, which assesses the capabilities of both conventional and nuclear forces in various contigencies. Rand also emphasized model flexibility that facilitates sensitivity testing of both military and political issues--providing the capability to answer a broad range of 'what if?' questions.
Department Of Defense Appropriations For 1985
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Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on Department of Defense
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1984
Department Of Defense Appropriations For 1985 written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on Department of Defense and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1984 with United States categories.
Analysis Analysis Practices And Implications For Modeling And Simulation
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Author : Paul K. Davis
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2007
Analysis Analysis Practices And Implications For Modeling And Simulation written by Paul K. Davis and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Technology & Engineering categories.
An examination of analysis and analysis practices for defense planning, the paper1s purpose is to delineate priorities for the way ahead, i.e., for investments and other actions to ensure that future models and simulations will serve the needs of decisionmakers. The analysis in question is accomplished for Quadrennial Reviews and for continuing work on capability assessments, requirements analysis, and program analysis.
New Challenges New Tools For Defense Decisionmaking
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Author : Stuart E. Johnson
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2003-03-31
New Challenges New Tools For Defense Decisionmaking written by Stuart E. Johnson and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-03-31 with Political Science categories.
It is still easy to underestimate how much the collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War?--and then the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001?--transformed the task of American foreign and defense policymaking. In place of predictability (if a sometimes terrifying predictability), the world is now very unpredictable. In place of a single overriding threat and benchmark by which all else could be measured, a number of possible threats have arisen, not all of them states. In place of force-on-force engagements, U.S. defense planners have to assume "asymmetric" threats?--ways not to defeat U.S. power but to render it irrelevant. This book frames the challenges for defense policy that the transformed world engenders, and it sketches new tools for dealing with those challenges?--from new techniques in modeling and gaming, to planning based on capabilities rather than threats, to personnel planning and making use of "best practices" from the private sector.
Department Of Defense Appropriations For
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Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1984
Department Of Defense Appropriations For written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1984 with categories.
Plan Synchronization In The Rsac Environment
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Author : David A. Shlapak
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1986
Plan Synchronization In The Rsac Environment written by David A. Shlapak and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1986 with War games categories.
"This paper addresses some of the issues involved in the synchronization of Analytic War Plans (AWPs) within the RAND Strategy Assessment Center's (RSAC) automated war-gaming system. It discusses issues involved in the planning process and how those issues affect the creation and maintenance of AWPs. It examines the script-like nature of many AWPs and the problems which may arise in coordinating multiple scripts, and discusses the techniques used in addressing these problems within the RSAC system. The authors conclude that they have devised simple and apparently robust mechanisms for controlling multiple scripts in a complex environment, and that their techniques are extensible to other applications requiring multiple scripts in a dynamic simulation."--Rand abstracts.
Signal
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1988
Signal written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988 with Armed Forces categories.
Search For A Red Agent To Be Used In War Games And Simulations
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Author : Paul K. Davis
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1985
Search For A Red Agent To Be Used In War Games And Simulations written by Paul K. Davis and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1985 with Computer war games categories.
"This paper describes an ongoing program to develop automated models (Red Agents) of plausible Soviet behavior for use in war games and simulations. It defines Red Agents and outlines objectives for their use. It reviews technical difficulties and challenges associated with reflecting accurate portrayals of plausible Soviet behavior at various levels of command. It reports that experience with prototype Red Agents suggests a profound potential for strategy analysis."--Rand Abstracts.